POPULATION and POVERTY
The ultimate driving force behind all deforestation is human overpopulation; both the population in the temperate
region that places demands on the resources derived from the tropical rainforests, and the expanding population
of developing tropical nations, who exploit the rainforest for survival. Today the world's population stands at
approximately 6,400,000,000 (6.4 billion) people. Each minute another 150 people are added to the planet, each day
another 216,000, and each year another 79,000,000. The U.S. Bureau of the Census (1999) projects the population
will reach 8 billion by 2026 and expects the population to level off, baring an outbreak of a widespread deadly
plague or a catastrophic environmental disaster, at 9.3 billion in 2050. However some have pegged peak estimates
of human population at anywhere from 15 to 50 billion. Over 99% of this new growth will occur in the less developed
countries of today.
Population Growth
2005 Population Trend Update
Growth rates leveling off
Malthus believer or not, this increase in human population, will place
tremendous pressure on the planet's resources. The most pressure will come from the world's developing countries
which have the fastest growing populations and most rapid economic (industrial) growth. In 1995, economic growth
in developing countries reached nearly 6%, compared with the 2% growth rate for developed countries. This economic
growth is expected to continue through 1996 and 1997, possibly slowing in late 1998 through 2000, and accelerating
after the turn of the century.
Despite economic growth in developing countries, poverty and hunger continue to expand as economic disparities
in these countries continue to widen. One in six people in the world lack sufficient food to fulfill their basic
daily requirements, despite increasing food supplies worldwide. There are many reasons for this hunger, including
the increasing cost of food against falling real wages and the limited access to food reserves. FAO predicts that
food demand in developing countries will grow 1.8% annually until 2010. To meet this need, another 222 million
acres (90 million hectares) of new land must be brought into agriculture in developing countries, mainly in sub-Sahara
Africa and Latin America. It is no longer a question if forest land will be converted, but what forest land.
Additionally, as developing countries become more integrated into the world economy, they will place greater demands
on their own natural resources and as a result, pollution and environmental degradation are projected to increase
at a rate exceeding the population growth rate. For example, during the 1980s, the population of tropical developing
countries grew by roughly 19%, while their deforestation expanded by 90%. Industrial demand increases for wood,
oil, and mineral products found on forest lands. Industrial roundwood consumption is projected to increase over
the next few years to supply demand.
One of the greatest threats to the world's environment is the compounding numbers of rural poor who turn increasingly
to the rainforests to feed and shelter themselves. These poor, essentially peasant farmers, are frequently pushed
off more fertile soils by the large, wealthy landowners who have more political clout. Without realizing it, these
poor farmers are perpetuating their own situation by their role in deforestation, which makes their quality of
life worse by increasing their chance of disease, ruining their drinking water stocks, causing soil erosion, and
leaving their children without the benefits possible when the forest is sustainably used. As the human population
grows, the quality of all forms of life plummets as people are forced to move into more and more marginal lands
with higher incidence of natural disaster (floods), crop failures, and disease.